Daemon Quest

High-Tech Marketing. The New Era of Scientific Marketing

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Abstract

  • Sales and Marketing directors are overwhelmed by the information on their real and potential customers.
  • This overflow is creating a new generation of “info-addict” and “infoxicated” executives who face tremendous difficulties in distinguishing between useful and useless information.
  • Based on conventional scientific applications, new techniques are emerging which allow us to obtain meticulous information on the customer, based on rigorous and reliable data.
  • Neural Networks, Artificial Intelligence, and Data Mining allow us to obtain all the information on a customer, filter it, analyze it, and interpret it in order to transform isolated data into a real strategic decision-making support.
  • Applied to the marketing field, these types of techniques allow us not only to understand current customer behavior, but also, and even more importantly, to predict how they will behave in the future.

It is time for science to be applied to marketing, as is already happening in other business fields. Knowing who the customer is and what their habits are, and predicting their behavior is only possible by implementing strategies based on exhaustive gathering, filtering, analysis and interpretation of data on real and potential markets. Only by adopting Scientific Marketing can we transform information into knowledge that supports the company’s strategic decision-making.

1. The information era: “info-addicts” and “infoxication”

 A simple Google search for the word information gives an Internet user 347 entries. This is only one indicator among many of the level of information bombardment the average individual experiences. If this average individual is also a company director, the degree of the information barrage skyrockets. Currently, executives are going through the highest levels of information flow in history. A study recently carried out by the University of California (UCLA) concludes that in the last 30 years, Humanity has generated more information than in the previous 5,000 years.

Professors Peter Lyman and Hal Varian, of the Berkley’s School of Information Management and Systems, recently set out to quantify the information generated on the entire planet, during one year only. Their study put numbers to what is already clear to the majority of companies: society generates such an excess of information –the volume is duplicated an average of every two years–, that it is practically impossible to process it usefully.

Some data speaks for itself:

  • Each one of the 6.3 billion inhabitants on the planet produces an average of 800 megabytes of information.
  • The United States is the absolute leader in information production: it generates close to 40% of the world’s information.
  • New supports are replacing the old classics. While film use has decreased by 2.6% in recent years, the use of magnetic and optical supports has skyrocketed to 80% and 99%, respectively.
  • Internet is the fastest-growing information medium in history. Despite its youth, it is already the world’s second information channel, with 532,897 terabytes.
  • Information, while highly valuable, is also a very ephemeral asset. This fact is proven by the importance of the telephone in the world. Telephone lines serve as a canal for 17.3 million terabytes of information, the majority of which are unique…and no longer exist.
  • The majority of Internet information is in the form of electronic mail:
    Close to 500,000 terabytes of information via e-mail... almost nothing.

“In the last 30 years, Humanity has generated more information than in the last 5,000 years.”

As we said earlier, while the average individual feels overwhelmed by the excess of information, the case of company directors is even more serious, since information is the principal tool on which companies base something as incredibly sensitive as strategic decision-making.
How much of the information directors receive daily is processed correctly? What information is true? What information can we trust without risk? How can we untangle, process, analyze, and clearly express so much information?

The challenge is as urgent as it is exasperating for many business leaders, who every day face the delicate task of making decisions based on rigorous information. The gathering and analysis of financial data has evolved considerably over recent years. However, the same cannot be said of sales and marketing information.

. Tools as controversial as CRM applications have without a doubt contributed to improving the flow of customer information that companies deal with. But it is essential to distinguish between the gathering, storage, and organization of data, and the subsequent analysis and interpretation of it. CRM is still another business tool that requires an appropriate Customer Intelligence strategy, capable not only of organizing data, but also “exploring” it and reaching irrefutable conclusions.

A survey carried out last year by Daemon Questii showed the precariousness that the Sales and Marketing Management of large companies faces in order to correctly process and analyze customer information. Some revealing data:

  • 73% of the directors surveyed admitted feeling “overwhelmed” by the avalanche of customer information.
  • 62% admit not having this information under control.
  • 44% say they would have made different strategic decisions in the past, had they had the appropriate information.
  • Despite the fact that 91% consider that rigorous customer information is “critical” to their company, only 34% claims to have a proper Customer Intelligence strategy in their company.

The avalanche of data that overwhelms business leaders daily has created a new generation of “info-addicts” and “infoxicatediii” executives; a generation of executives that demands and untangles information indiscriminately, but who at the same time are victims of the “consumption” of both correct and incorrect data…

The causes of jump from an Information Society to an Information Anxiety are multiple and complex, but among them stand out:

  • The tremendous increase of information flow within organizations in recent years: an average director may receive up to 200 internal information “inputs” daily, if we combine e-mails, instant messages, telephone calls, papers, memorandums, and reports…
  • A considerable increase, at the same time, in information flow from “external” sources: customers, providers, potential customers, organizations and institutes, competitors, media, and many other exterior contacts…
  • The progressive externalization of services, which companies are increasingly turning towards, thus multiplying the exchange of information between directors and sources outside the company.
  • The gradual disappearance of professionals who previously acted as a “wall of contention” and a “filter” in sending information to directors: secretaries, assistants, collaborators… Tools such as e-mail or the mobile telephone, as well as the creation of increasingly agile and dynamic staffs, get the information directly to the executive.
  • Technology and new work methods. E-mails, land lines and mobile telephones, conventional mail, meetings, conference calls, faxes, internets, intranets, newsletters, instant messaging, business management software… The means by which directors are being “bombarded” by all types of information are multiplying.
  • The majority of vital customer information ends up being “lost” in financial departments, “pre-sale” and “post-sale” departments, in call-centers, in sales networks and points of sale… When a company is dealing with hundreds of thousands or millions of customers, it is crucial for Sales and Marketing directors, the direct generators of a company’s revenue, have customer and market information that is centralized, appropriately filtered, and analyzed, which allows them to base their decisions on scientifically proven data.

How can we access documented and reliable information that supports strategic decision-making? The answer lies in organizations’ generalized adoption of scientific marketing, capable of turning data into knowledge that backs up the decision-making process.

“44% Sales and Marketing Directors admit that they would have made different strategic decisions in the past, if they had had the appropriate information”

2. Science applied to marketing

The 21st century will most likely go down in history as the century of the scientific boom. Analysis methods are beginning to go beyond scientific fields, although they are only timidly entering companies. Why not apply scientific advances to the sales and marketing fields? Why are financial fields already based on rigorous, scientifically proven methods, while marketing often continues to be based on such subjective and volatile criteria as intuition?

It is becoming more and more pressing to develop a scientific marketing that, like a still, “distils” all of a company’s customer information, giving directors “the essence”, that is, conclusions based on empirical data, that drive an accurate decision-making process.

New Customer Intelligence strategies are making headway, based on techniques that directly emanate from the statistics field, mathematics, modeling, and other scientific areas. At the foundation of these techniques are the company’s own internal databases (or Data Warehouse, if the volume of information is considerable), but also public and external ones. Both information sources are crossed using sophisticated analytical techniques, in order to reach precise conclusions regarding the present, past, and future behavior of real and potential customers. Among the most commonly used techniques in the field of High-Tech marketing are:

  • OLAP (On Line Analytic Processing): they allow us to model information, with the goal of analyzing information in great detail.
  • DSS (Decision Support Systems): relatively complex solutions that allow us to create business opportunity “alarms”, but also abandonment risk alarms.
  • Artificial Intelligence Tools: they use rule bases and inference engines that try to emulate the behavior of the human brain. These tools include techniques like expert systems or neural networks.
  • “Data Mining”: using Data Mining techniques, the information is explored in-depth, in search of correlations that are impossible to distinguish with the naked eye.

3. Data Mining: in search of the hidden pattern

The term “mining” in the expression “Data Mining” was not chosen randomly: just as a miner tirelessly searches for precious metal hidden in rock, “Data Mining” allows us to find the “gold nugget” hidden among the informational sludge. Models, conclusions, correlations, patterns, or trends are automatically, and, more importantly, quickly revealed with “Data Mining” techniques. Thus, the head of any company can have scientific tools at his or her disposal that assist in strategic decision-making. Data Mining is capable of diving into a sea of information in order to predict behavior and act accordingly.

. “Data Mining” is not synonymous with statistics, although it shares many common points. The main difference between the two concepts is that while Data Mining “explores and predicts”, statistics basically “confirms”.

The techniques “Data Mining” is usually based on are:

  • Decision charts and rules (essentially CART and CHAID)
  • Association rules
  • Neural networks
  • Bayesian Networks
  • Rough Sets
  • Clustering
  • Vector Support Machines
  • Genetic algorithms
  • Fuzzy Logic

The combination of these techniques is allowing for surprising advances, not in exclusively business fields, but in a certain way perfectly suitable, surprising as it may seem, to the marketing world. Let’s look at a few examplesiv:

  • Justice and terror prevention: since September 11th, the FBI and the CIA have multiplied their use of Data Mining techniques to detect potential terrorist profiles.
  • Media: the British BBC uses models based on neural networks in order to predict the audience for a particular program, according to the time slot it’s in.
  • Genetics: the recent discovery of the human genome is one of the prime examples of the use of Data Mining techniques. The private American company Celera Genomics scored a point in the discovery by getting 800 computers to work together, adding 300 kilometers of fiber optics, and achieving one of the highest calculation powers in history.
  • Sports: the football team AC Milan uses Data Mining techniques based on its players’ past behavior, in order to predict the risk of injury and decide who should stay on the bench. Some NBA teams (such as the New York Nicks) also apply these techniques in order to predict the outcome of specific basketball plays.

4. Applications of Artificial Intelligence to Customer Strategies

Do all companies know that these techniques are perfectly applicable to the world of marketing and customers? The applications are as useful as they are varied. Let’s imagine the sales team of a large distribution company. The members of this team are most likely capable of figuring out that a high percentage of consumers that go to the “hypermarket” to buy detergent, also end up buying fabric softener. What they could never know is that many of them also buy wine, especially if it’s Saturday afternoon. Only “Data Mining” techniques, applied with computers and controlled by specialists (analysts, mathematicians, statisticians…), are capable of illuminating these types of correlations, which the human brain cannot access, but which are extremely useful for business management. Knowing that customers who go to the hypermarket to buy detergent on a Saturday afternoon have a high probability of purchasing wine, our management team will most likely consider some type of promotion involving both products, or they will place them close to one another on the aisles.

Data Mining’s main objectives are the creation of descriptive models (discovering correlations, patterns, or tendencies) in order to understand the “hidden” reality, as well as the creation of predictive models that help foresee the future and, as a result, define intelligent strategies.

Knowing who the minority of customers is that generates 70% of a company’s benefits; figuring out how demographical, geographical, and social factors condition the purchase process; designing more accurate and affordable marketing campaigns; calculating how much it costs us to add a new customer to our portfolio; predicting which customers have a high probability of leaving us and going to the competition… These are only some of the immense possibilities that these new techniques open for the company. Like the oracles of Ancient Greece, “Data Mining” is data’s hidden voice; a voice that knows, predicts, and guides human beings.

“Data Mining techniques allow us to find the gold nugget among the information sludge”

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